Very much true to form, 2020 is slithering back under its rock pretty much the same way it lived its 366 days in the sun. Which is to say covered in the ash and sewage of incompetence, grift and noxious self-interest. As we prepare to sing Auld Lang Syne by Zoom, the Trump administration is (again) blaming the state and local officials for the inept roll-out of vaccines … to fight a global pandemic. Meanwhile, never a crowd to let a crisis go unexploited for personal gain, big name Republicans are busting their first moves for 2024.
First among equals in naked self-service is of course The Donald himself. As of New Year’s Eve, the Lord of Low Information has scammed another $250 million from MAGA zealots, many of whom I’m guessing had to shave $20 off their welfare disability checks.
Looking at (known) debts in the $600 million range and facing the near certainty of criminal prosecution for bank and insurance fraud, His Grand Orange Incontinence is, I read, toying with the idea of charging the Red Hat Brigade to attend “Trump 2024” rallies, along with launching some kind of All-Donald-All-the-Time streaming TV service, which at say $5 month for even 10% of his 70 million Twitter followers adds up to $35 million a month, or a little over $400 million for the first year, little to none of which will be reflected on his federal income tax returns, of course.
There’s just too much easy fool’s gold to be picked up off the ground for Trump to ever say he’s not running again in 2024. Plus, even his putative opponents are falling over themselves to sustain his standing as the Anointed Redeemer of Aging White Deplorables. Pundit John Heilemann, (one of the few who emerges from 2020 with credibility intact), recently asked listeners to imagine a “hands up” question in the first Republican primary debates in 2023.
The question? “Do you believe the 2020 election was rigged and stolen from Donald Trump?”
Being Republicans trying to win votes out of a Republican base, all 30 of them on the stage, from Louie Gohmert and Don Jr. to Ted Cruz will of course raise their hand and attest that The Donald was robbed, thereby implying his rightful claim to the crown. (It will be an echo of that infamous moment in Iowa years ago when John McCain and every other Republican raised their hand when asked who took issue with the Theory of Evolution?)
Speaking of Cruz and the Republican affinity for grift, you have to love The Most Hated Man in the Senate taking a clue from Trump and making a Facebook appeal to MAGA Nation for money to help near billionaire Kelly Loeffler and China-trader/multi-millionaire David Perdue win their run-offs in Georgia. Except Ted did Donny one better. Where Trump had to peel off a percentage to the Republican Party, Ted … can keep it all. To himself. Without giving a nickel to his already richer-than-Croesus colleagues.
As the Brits so often say, “Brilliant!”
Post-Donald, the existential issue is early identification and a tactical plan to stop “competent Trump”, the not so mythical “conservative” who is not just smarter than Trump, (which is easy, hell even Louie Gohmert could jump that bar), but more disciplined. Cruz is one such animal. So is Tom Cotton from Arkansas.
But the horse breaking hardest from the gate here, 20 days before Joe Biden gets sworn in, is 40 year-old Josh Hawley of Missouri. As you may have read, he intends to carry the MAGA Warriors banner into the Senate chamber next week and refuse to certify the electoral college of Biden. This really won’t do anything but piss off every Republican who really doesn’t want his/her name on a forever vote to undermine an election that wasn’t even close. But as naked grifts go, it will create a mega-ton of publicity for Hawley and raise at least Cruz-size cash from perpetually raging Trumperoos.
As a candidate, Hawley is already on different track — or in a different lane — than Cruz and Cotton. His strategy is to aim everything at pissed-off rural/blue collar whites, promising them more free money. (He says he supports those $2000 checks, knowing Mitch McConnell will make sure he never has to actually vote on it.) All while reigniting their self-pitying grudges against mongrelizing immigrants, high-tech slicksters and sneering, anti-cop big city elites.
But unlike Trump, who can’t be bothered to read a cue card, much less a legal brief, Hawley, the former John Roberts law clerk, former half-term attorney general of Missouri, “educated” at Yale and Stanford, is all about utterly shameless, serpentine calculation. (Who can forget as a Senate candidate two years ago the fresh-faced Hawley appearing in TV ads underlining his support for the key elements of Obamacare while — at that very moment — leading the Republican court challenge to kill it?)
Hawley has chutzpah and strategy chops neither Cruz or Cotton have shown to date. Moreover, no major Republican donor is going to be confused or dissuaded by Hawley’s talk of moving significant cash downward toward “real Americans” in a “worker-focused approach”, as Hawley likes to say. GOP money men and women know a slick con job when they see one, and Hawley is the slickest on the scene at this moment.
You gotta hand it to Republicans, they have a deep, nearly fathomless well of these snakes.
The Biden years went by so fast … .
Well, 2024 is many light years away. My question is more immediate: What now becomes of the Never Trumpers…the Lincoln Project, the Joe Scarboroughs, Nicole Wallaces, Steve Schmidts, Bill Kristols, et al.? Presumably they still hew to traditional conservative principles. Will some new faction coalesce around them, effectively splitting the Republican Party in two? The Never Trumpers are happy to vote for Biden this time around, but this is a constituency that, unlike the MAGA crowd, is still capable of reasoning and sorting out truth from conspiracy fantasies. And they’re going to want to have a say in how the country is governed. They’re gonna need something or someone to get behind other than the Democratic alternative. Point being, whether Trump actually runs again (doubtful) or one of his acolytes seizes his base, that may not be a viable path to the White House in four years in some sort of three-way race.
I mention ’24 only because there’s already so much posturing and fund-raising going on for it. It’s an interesting question, where do all the Never Trumpers go? I’m not certain they have control over the actual RNC/official party apparatus to regain control of its name, and as long as Trump has, what is it?, 70% of Repoublican voters believing he wuz robbed, they’re not going to bust that bronco. But money being everything, if a viable candidate without the stink of Trump on him/her emerges, I can easily see them migrating back into the party, especially if the Dems put up a “socialist” to succeed Biden. More to the point, Scarborough, Bill Kristol, Mike Murphy and others like them see a “socialist” behind every Democrat who pushes for a public option or increasing taxes on hedge fund managers. I notice today that Ben Sasse — who remained silent about every Trump atrocity and voted to acquit him in impeachment — is making “reasonable” and “dismayed” sounds again. Perhaps he’s probing a “restoration of party integrity” lane? He could be the sort of next generation Republican the media types could get behind. The big money folks, who knows?
I have to admit that I am sort of enjoying watching all of the GOP shenanigans right now. Trump is just being Trump, but we are at a point where the GOP can’t sweep it under the rug. They are being forced into saying yes or no to Trump’s worst impulses. And Trump simply doesn’t care! He doesn’t give a shit about the GOP, Mitch, the Senate, ……
I think that it is going to take a very long time for the GOP to get back to “normal”. But this is the result of the GOP ceding power to the grifters. I think that over time the GOP became a party that was invested in making money for the people that ran it, and it goes back a long time (Remember Richard Viguerie?). I’m talking about people like Parscale. The GOP makes money off of political campaigns for the GOP professionals. The politicians get the fame, fans, power, etc, but people like Parscale get rich. Trump of course wants it all for himself (and his family).
Bottom line is that there is no real interest within the GOP (the actual Republican Party organization) about things like policy and governance, except to make certain that they are things than can be spun/sold to the public. It is one big advertising campaign, a continuous publicity stunt. And Trump is the apogee.
They have been very successful in selling this, but is it what the public really wants? What happens when people see through this?
Of course, the joke might still be on me if this is indeed what the public really wants. Maybe politics is nothing but entertainment……
Pete: I’m sure you’re ashamed of yourself for taking such a dark and cynical view of one of America’s two great political parties. But really, how can an intelligent adult with a few years of experience in How the World Really Works see anything different? I’ve becomne a fan Charlie Sykes’ “The Bulwark” podcast. (His 2020 wrap-up episode is particularly good.) And as a guy who was once the conservative radio voice of Wisconsin, he sees Hawley et al as exactly what you say. The whole party has become a grift machine, with conservative media birthing new suckers every minute.
You have to read this! About half way through, you’ll hear what Mike Lindell (My Pillow guy) said to the crowd.
https://www.vox.com/22215120/trump-stop-the-steal-protests-downtown-washington-dc-electoral-college
God, I hope he runs for Governor in 2022!
It just keeps getting better……
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/01/15/pillow-salesman-apparently-has-some-ideas-about-declaring-martial-law/
The problem the GOP faces, in 2 articles:
1). https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/08/us/politics/trump-republican-national-committee.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage
2). https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/01/08/lindsey-graham-airport-confrontation/
Couldn’t happen to a nicer, more deserving group of people…..