I've worked for politicians, a PR firm, corporations, nonprofits, and state and federal government. Since 2000, I've run a PR and marketing sole proprietorship. I think politics is important, maddening, humorous and good fodder for a spirited conversation. So, I hang out here when I need a break from life.
Among campaign professionals, debates continually rage about whether to invest in field organization or advertising.
Advocates for organizing – phone-banking, door-knocking, yard sign placement, volunteer recruitment, helping voters vote, etc. – say that the best way to persuade and activate someone is one-on-one, preferably face-to-face. They make the case that saturation advertising is increasingly tuned out by ad-weary voters and therefore is largely ineffective and a massive waste of limited campaign resources.
Those folks need to pay attention to the Minnesota gubernatorial race between incumbent DFL Governor Tim Walz and challenger Republican Scott Jensen. KSTP-TV explains:
“There could be many explanations for why Republican challenger Scott Jensen has fallen so far behind incumbent Democrat Gov. Tim Walz two months before Election Day, but Jensen’s initial position on abortion and the resulting millions of dollars of TV ads on the issue is likely the biggest factor.
According to our exclusive new KSTP/SurveyUSA poll, Walz leads Jensen by 18 points, 51% to 33%. In our May survey, Jensen trailed by just 5 points.
“The results of this current poll are nothing short of stunning,” says Carleton College political analyst Steven Schier, citing the barrage of TV ads criticizing Jensen about abortion and education funding as difficult for the Republican to overcome. “The Jensen campaign has no money for messaging compared to the Walz campaign and the Walz campaign allies.”
As of late July, Walz had 10 times more cash on hand than Jensen, nearly $5 million compared to just over $500,000 for Jensen. Plus, a special interest group supporting Walz, Alliance for a Better Minnesota, pledged millions to run TV ads attacking Jensen.
Walz and his supporters have used advertising to put Jensen in a deep hole with only two months to go. The ads frame Walz as a unifying Governor who managed the state well during a difficult pandemic and is now presiding over a booming economy. They describe Jensen as an extremist whose own words show he wants to ban abortion and cut school funding, which are both unpopular positions in Minnesota.
During the time those ads have been running, there has been a massive 13-point change. Even if that poll is off by half, which is possible but unlikely, that still would be a very significant shift.
Just as importantly, the pro-Walz ad campaign also frames the abortion issue as being about respecting doctor-patient relationships, and difficult, highly personal choices that women face. That is in stark contrast to the “baby-killing” arguments that anti-abortion candidates and groups have used to good advantage over the years.
In other words, progressives are, for once, using their advertising budget to play offense on this issue. It’s working, particularly with women voters who would be most affected if Jensen were elected and was able to ban abortion in Minnesota.
The race in this purple state — the only state in the nation with a divided state legislature — is sure to tighten over the next couple of months, in part because the cash-strapped Jensen will eventually start advertising his own charges and defenses at a time when inflation is high and the Democratic President is unpopular. But the last three months are a strong case study illustrating the power of advertising.
So yes, community organizing warriors, continue to knock on those doors and make those calls! (Just not at this crotchety introvert’s house.) But campaigns also must continue to invest in repetitive messaging through carefully targeted, multi-media advertising. As the beleaguered Scott Jensen will tell you, that still matters, a lot.
I’m not a great NFL offensive line talent evaluator, but I’m told a player named J.C. Tretter has had himself a fine eight-year career as an NFL center.
At the same time, the center position just happens to be a chronic weakness of the Vikings. First round draft choice Garrett Bradbury has been a huge disappointment, which particularly limits their passing game and endangers their skittish franchise quarterback. The Vikings don’t appear to have a good Plan B to replace Bradbury.
The good news, it seemed, was that Mr. Tretter had interest in coming to Minnesota. But alas, according to Sports Illustrated (SI) the interest was not reciprocated by the Vikings’ front office:
The former Browns center, one of the best, most durable players at his position over the past five seasons, had interest in playing football in 2022. After being released by Cleveland in the spring, Tretter and his representation looked around to see if they could find him a new team in free agency. He told Sports Illustrated’s Alex Prewitt that his list of ideal destinations included the Panthers, Cowboys, and Vikings. Tretter cheered for the Vikings as a kid and felt that playing for them would “put a bow on (his) childhood.”
Despite having a major need at center due to Garrett Bradbury’s struggles, the Vikings apparently never returned his call. They declined to comment for the SI story. Minnesota wasn’t the only one, though; per the story, “none of the seven teams that his camp contacted reciprocated his interest.”
So Tretter, feeling at peace with his career, announced his retirement on Thursday.
Now, I’m certainly open to the possibility that Tretter was too beat up to play any more, though he denies that. But why wouldn’t the Vikings, or any other NFL team, at least conduct a physical and do some diagnostic scans? That refusal to even investigate his health just doesn’t pass the smell test.
I’m also open to the possibility that Tretter, at the ripe old age of 31, had no more gas in the tank. But offensive lineman frequently pay well into their thirties, and just last year Tretter still had plenty of game left in him, according to statistics compiled by Cleveland Browns blogger Barry Shuck.
With the 2021 season, Tretter played 1,038 snaps and allowed only one sack. His Pro Football Focus grade this past year was 78.7 and was ranked the #6 center out of 39 candidates.
So what could have caused an accomplished veteran like Tretter to get the cold shoulder from the Vikings and every other NFL team’s front office? Some, such as Tretter’s former teammate Joel Bitonio, make a very convincing case that Tretter, an Ivy League (Cornell) graduate, has been effectively blackballed by the NFL because he was an outspoken two-term President of the NFL Players Association (NFLPA), the labor union that represents players in negotiations with the NFL’s billionaire owners on issues such as pay, benefits, workplace conditions, racial equity, health, and safety.
“When you have a guy that’s top-five, top-10 at center in the league and he’s not on a roster, you know, and he’s the NFLPA president and maybe some of the owners don’t appreciate what he brings to the table on certain topics when he’s trying to protect player safety and things of that nature, it seems a little suspicious to me,” Bitonio said, via Mary Kay Cabot of the Cleveland Plain Dealer. “But, again, I don’t know what’s going on behind closed doors. I don’t know what his conversations have been with teams and stuff, but just from an outside perspective usually players that are close to the top of their game get picked up. Teams want to win in this league. So it’s an interesting topic, for sure.”
Mike Florio, an attorney and NFL analyst for NBC, profootballtalk.com, and KFAN radio in Minnesota, agrees that it is very possible:
Would it be crazy to think that owners are shying away from Tretter because he has become an agitator to the oligarchs? Nope. That’s another reason why high-profile (and highly-compensated) quarterbacks should be more involved in union leadership. They’re far less likely to be blackballed, and they’re far more likely to take command of the rank and file if/when a line must be drawn in the sand — even if it means a work stoppage.
For now, it makes sense to pay attention to what happens with Tretter. If the goal is to keep him out of the league because he helps run the union, ignoring it makes it easier for the owners to pull it off.
Keep in mind, the NFL and the Vikings have a history here. As I have written on this blog, there are strong arguments that both the Vikings and the NFL engaged in blacklisting others — racial equity champion quarterback Colin Kaepernick and gay rights champion punter Chris Kluwe — who dared to speak their minds about what the NFL considers to be “political issues.”
Interestingly, NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell had no concerns with former Vikings center Matt Birk, who was an outspoken advocate of banning abortion long before he started his gaffe-filled run in Minnesota politics. Birk’s position could have been considered by the NFL to be “controversial,” given that surveys show that two-thirds of the nation opposes banning abortion.
But the NFL not only didn’t blacklist Birk, it hired him as a top executive, Director of Player Development, after his playing career was done. The NFL owners’ political leanings are in full view here.
Again, keep in mind, when the analytics publication Pro Football Focus (PFF) ranked the top half of centers in the NFL, they put Tretter near the very top, at number five. PFF didn’t even list the Vikings current starter Garrett Bradbury in the top half of options.
Yet Bradbury, who Vikings Head Coach Kevin O’Connell continues to question, will be the Vikings starter again this year, and Tretter apparently can’t even get his phone call returned by the Vikings front office.
The Vikings’ billionaire owners Mark and Zygi Wilf love to assure long-suffering fans that they will do whatever it takes to bring a Super Bowl Championship to Minnesota, the state that paid half a billion dollars for a sports palace that has caused the value of the Wilf’s NFL franchise to skyrocket by over a billion dollars.
Unless, apparently, that means employing players who advocate for racial, gay, and worker rights.
Beginning on September 23rd, when early voting begins, Minnesota will be choosing an overseer of Minnesota’s free and fair elections, the Minnesota Secretary of State.
Stop yawning, because this issue has become a big deal.
This is an era in which Trumpist Republicans now scream “fraud” any time they have fewer certified votes than their opponent. Because of that, the choice of Secretary of State has suddenly become one of the most important choices on your ballot.
Republicans have nominated someone named Kim Crockett to run against DFL incumbent Steve Simon. Having effectively and efficiently managed the election system with the highest turnout in the nation, Simon has earned reelection.
Meanwhile, Trumpist Crockett, the former head of an ultra-conservative policy think tank, champions anti-democratic views.
Denying Certified Results. Crockett is an election denier who rejects the findings about the 2020 presidential election, which were checked and re-checked and re-re-checked by dozens of non-partisan election officials, auditors, and judges. Her partisan attitudes about non-partisan vote counting and auditing in 2020 telegraph the partisan manner in which she would oversee vote counting and auditing in the future. It seems clear that she would reject foundational democratic values in favor of partisanship, and that could effectively disenfranchise many Minnesota voters.
Dismantling Proven System. Despite the fact that Minnesota has the best voter turnout in the nation, Crockett insists that Minnesota’s current must be destroyed and rebuilt to her liking. She wants to make voting more difficult, not easier, such as by pushing to restrict mail voting, erecting participation barriers, and shrinking early voting periods. Unconscionable.
Promoting Bigotry and Elitism. Crockett even questions whether Americans with disabilities and non-English speakers should be permitted to vote:
“So, the Minnesota Supreme Court ruled that indeed you can help an unlimited number of people vote if they are disabled or can’t read or speak English, which raises the question, should they be voting? We can talk about that another time.”
No, how about we talk about that now?
So, please do your research on this race, and don’t stop voting after the top few choices at the top of the ballot. This Secretary of State vote matters a lot more than it might seem at first blush.
Particularly in closely contested purple states like Minnesota, the game for Republican candidates has become to run as an extreme right-winger in Republican primaries, then pretend to be a “moderate” in the general election by walking back much of what you promised in the primary.
This “pivot to the center” is done to appeal to “swing voters,” or voters who tend to swing back and forth between voting for Democratic and Republican candidates. These voters often prove to be key in general elections.
There’s one impediment to politicians’ deceptive strategy–opposition research.
A lot of people tend to think of campaign opposition research, or “oppo” for short, as being unsavory or unethical. They envision political hacks “digging up dirt” about opponents, private investigator style. In reality, opposition research is most often just documenting the opponents’ public statements. Typically, a relatively low-level staffer is hired to catalog news coverage and go to the opponents’ public events to record what the opponent is saying.
Gathering and organizing this information is horribly tedious work — more like an archivist than a private investigator — but the messaging fodder it produces can be decisive in close elections. And it brings more transparency to politics.
For instance, in the Republican primary, Scott Jensen promised Republicans in unequivocal terms that he would try to ban abortions in Minnesota. MinnPost summarizes his position during the Republican primary campaign:
“In March, before Roe was overturned, Jensen told MPR News he would ‘try to ban abortion’ if elected governor. And in a May interview on WCCO radio, Jensen, a practicing family physician, said he wouldn’t support exemptions for rape and incest…”
ABM even says Jensen told the St. Thomas University Young Republicans in December 2021 that he would throw a party if he was able to limit abortions.
“If I get a chance to sign a pro-life piece of legislation, we’re not just going to sign it, we’re going to have a party.”
But alas, abortion banning statements that produce thunderous ovations from ultra-conservative primary voters produce lusty boos from more moderate swing voters. After all, about two-thirds (65%) of Minnesota voters oppose new severe abortion restrictions. Most Minnesotans clearly don’t view abortion banning as party-worthy.
Therefore, once Jensen won the primary, he began frantically trying to walk back his promise, saying he would grant exceptions in the case of rape and incest. (Or as Jensen’s running mate Matt Birk might put it, Jensen “played the rape card.”)
For a while, it felt like Jensen’s flip-flop was working a bit. The news coverage of his flip-flop muddied the waters and made Jensen seem more moderate than he is (e.g. Based on his policy positions, Jensen has a 100% rating from the extremist anti-choice Minnesota Citizens Concerned for Life).
But thanks to a behind-the-scenes opposition researcher, a devastating ad is currently being heavily aired by the progressive Alliance for a Better Minnesota (ABM). The ad is holding Jensen accountable for his primary election promises. (I’d provide a link to the ad here, but ABM inexplicably doesn’t seem to be making it available online.)
The ad captures Jensen’s original promise to ultra-conservative primary voters and plays it back to more moderate general election swing voters. It also includes a chorus of Minnesota women expressing outrage about Jensen’s abortion ban promise. It’s powerful.
Though news media coverage exposed Jensen’s flip-flop on abortion, the ABM ad does several important things that news media coverage can’t. For instance, ads provide brevity for voters who don’t have the patience to dig into detailed news stories. They are carefully targeted to reach persuadable voters who often don’t follow the news closely, or at all. Finally, unlike news coverage, ads deliver message repetition, which makes the issue and the messaging stick in voters’ minds.
So, if Governor Tim Walz ends up being reelected this November because pro-choice suburban voters swing in his direction, don’t give all the credit to the candidate, field organizers, and his big-buck political consultants. Remember to give a little love to the lowly bottom-feeding staffer who captured and shared that audio clip to prevent Jensen from deceiving his way into the Minnesota Governor’s office.
Disingenuous or not, Donald Trump continues to
maintain that he couldn’t have lost his re-election bid. After all, his rallies
were so big and his supporters love him so much. The supporters agree because,
well, the rallies were so big and they love him so much.
Nonsense. Anybody who applies simple common
sense to this question will understand how he could — and did — lose.
Start with the 2016 Presidential election.
Trump did win that one. No question. Hillary Clinton got more popular votes —
65,844,954 (48.2%) to Trump’s 62,979,879 (46.1%) — but Trump won more states
and triumphed in the Electoral College.
In 2020, the election went the other way, with
Biden getting 81,282,916 popular votes to Trump’s 74,223,369 and flipping
enough “battleground” states to win the Electoral College. That’s a margin of
just over seven million votes, which is pretty freakin’ emphatic and impossible
to fake.
To which Trump and his flock still say, “No
way, not possible.”
But it was more than possible. It was entirely predictable.
Think about it. Trump lost at the ballot box in
2016 by almost three million votes to a former First Lady who is despised,
vilified and mocked by right-wing Americans and isn’t exactly beloved by
members of her own party (including me).
So why should it be shocking that a far less
polarizing, avuncular Democrat could beat him in 2020? Especially after Trump
had had four years to outrage Democrats, disgust traditional Republicans and
sour independents with his endless, inescapable displays of pettiness, deceit,
egomania, meanness and willful ignorance. Millions may love him, but millions
more were sick of the sight and sound of him.
True, some of these very characteristics
endeared him to his faithful — or were possible for them to ignore given his
Supreme Court appointees. He got more than 11 million more votes in 2020 than
he got on 2016.
But Biden’s getting 15 million more
votes than Clinton did and seven million more than Trump, far from impossible,
was inevitable — a tribute to Trump’s unparalleled ability to annoy, sicken and
motivate the liberals and moderates he thought he was “owning.”
It’s time for MAGAs from Trump on down to cool
it with the absurd claims of theft and get on with tapping Greg Abbott or Ron
DeSantis or Archery Terror-Alert Greed to continue their plans to transform the
USA into Gilead or Oceania or Hungary. There was no steal. Trump gave
the election away.
And here’s the kicker. He has probably given
away 2024 as well. If he had just submitted to an orderly transfer of power
like 44 Presidents before him and kept his mouth shut, he’d be in a better
position to retake the Oval Office in two years. But he couldn’t help himself,
and he still can’t. As it stands now, he may be wearing a jumpsuit that matches
his face.
Trump does have many enemies, but none worse than himself.
Note: Noel Holston is a freelance writer who lives in Athens, Georgia. He regularly shares his insights and wit at Wry Wing Politics. He’s also a contributing essayist to Medium.com, TVWorthWatching.com, and other websites. He previously wrote about television and radio at Newsday (2000-2005) and, as a crosstown counterpart to the Pioneer Press’s Brian Lambert, at the Star Tribune (1986-2000). He’s the author of “Life After Deaf: My Misadventures in Hearing Loss and Recovery,” by Skyhorse.
From The Washington Post’s August 3
editorial page:
“However much the 82-year-old Ms. Pelosi
might want a capstone event for her time as speaker — before a likely GOP
victory in November ends it— going to Taiwan now, as President Xi
Jinping of China is orchestrating his third term, was unwise.”
I don’t ordinarily disagree with the WaPo’s
editorials. Like MAGAs who turn to Fox
News’ Tucker Carlson or Sean Hannity to get their daily marching orders, I
depend on the left-center Post to tell me who to vote for and what
issues to support — or to at least ratify what I’m already thinking. Not only
do I read the Post with my morning coffee, I drank java the Post
recommended.
But I part company with its editorial board on
Speaker Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan. Let Xi be pissed. We need to show support for
this most Western of Eastern democracies every which way we can.
President Biden, instead of doing “damage
control,” should’ve hopped on Air Force One and been in Taiwan to fist bump Pelosi
as she departed.
Secretary of State Anthony “Winkin’” Blinken
should have been there on Joe’s heels if not his plane.
And then. . . and then, the wave. We should
steady stream of American politicos and icons, both singles and groups,
including:
The Congressional Asian Pacific American
Caucus
Stephanie “Flo” Courtney
The Mormon Tabernacle Choir
Snoop Dogg
George Takei.
The Congressional Anti-Bullying Caucus
Tom Hanks
Beyonce
The Boston Red Sox
The Preservation Hall Jazz Band
Dolly Parton
Kelly Clarkson
The Texas Southern Ocean of Soul Marching
Band
Spongebob
The Congressional Shellfish Caucus
Tool
Dwayne Johnson
Elmo
The Beach Boys
The Congressional Rice Caucus
Ted Danson
George Clooney
George Clinton
Lizzo
The Log Cabin Republicans
The Squirrel Nut Zippers
Oprah
Clint Eastwood
And if “President” Xi starts World War III over
all this tourism, so be it. We either do the right thing or we don’t.
Which reminds me:
Spike Lee!
Note: Noel Holston is a freelance writer who lives in Athens, Georgia. He regularly shares his insights and wit at Wry Wing Politics. He’s also a contributing essayist to Medium.com, TVWorthWatching.com, and other websites. He previously wrote about television and radio at Newsday (200-2005) and, as a crosstown counterpart to the Pioneer Press’s Brian Lambert, at the Star Tribune (1986-2000). He’s the author of “Life After Deaf: My Misadventures in Hearing Loss and Recovery,” by Skyhorse.
Minnesota GOP gubernatorial candidate Scott Jensen has one huge advantage over DFL Governor Tim Walz – rural voters. If Jensen wins in November, and he might because of frustration over crime and inflation, it will be because he successfully energized rural Minnesota. Rural areas have gotten reliably Republican, so yesterday’s FarmFest debate was the Twin Cities resident’s big opportunity to close the deal by stressing his rural development ideas.
But instead of using all of his time to make that case, Jensen apparently spent quite a lot of time emphasizing what he always seems to emphasize — COVID-related cray-cray.
I just don’t understand why Jensen is convinced that this is such a winning political issue for him. Early on, when little information was available, Jensen became a star on conservative news outlets like Fox News recklessly speculating about how the pandemic might turn out. But now that actual research has emerged, it’s clear that Jensen’s early guesses have turned out to be spectacularly, embarrassingly wrong.
Still, Jensen just can’t stop himself from going there:
Quite incredibly, Jensen, a physician by training, still remains unvaccinated. Keep in mind, over 95 percent of physicians are vaccinated, putting Jensen in a very small minority of extremists in his profession. Moreover, an overwhelming majority of Minnesotans made a different decision. Seven out of ten (3.946 million) of them have gotten them fully vaccinated. Among the states, Minnesota has the second best rate of residents that have been boosted.
Jensen also still expresses skepticism about vaccine effectiveness. But the facts are now in. They show that the vaccine has been highly effective in reducing hospitalizations and deaths, and have enabled Minnesota’s society and economy to return to normal. Despite all of this, Doc Jensen apparently still thinks preaching anti-vax myths to the small group of holdouts is wise political strategy.
Beyond Jensen’s incessant vaccination nonsense, he somehow continues to recommend Minnesotans use the antiparasitic drug ivermectin. The federal Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has not approved ivermectin, because a number of medical studies have proven it to be ineffective and dangerous. But apparently Team Jensen is convinced that pushing this discredited quackery is going to get him elected.
And then there is public health. Jensen maintains that Walz’s public health measures to limit COVID spread were unnecessary and ineffective. But the facts are now in, and Minnesota under Walz had one of the region’s best rates of COVID deaths per capita. If Walz had adopted the conservative hands-off public health approach used in neighboring South Dakota, 5,000 more people would have died, according to an analysis done by Dane Smith. That’s roughly equivalent to the population of Minnesota towns like Circle Pines, Luverne, Redwood Falls, Lindstrom, and Morris. Still, Jensen apparently is convinced that championing the demonstrably deadly South Dakota model is the best path to victory in November.
Finally, Jensen claims that Walz protecting Minnesotans during the deadliest pandemic in a century destroyed the Minnesota economy. Again, the facts now tell us a very different tale. Minnesota currently has the lowest unemployment of any state in the nation (1.8 percent), a historic low. Minnesota’s state budget outlook is strong enough that it also recently had its bond rating upgraded to AAA for the first time in nearly 20 years. But Jensen remains convinced that Minnesotans will buy his contention that Walz’s pandemic response made the state into a dystopian economic hellscape.
Stop, Doc, just stop! Take it from fellow Republican Bill Brock: “Let me tell you about the law of holes: If you find yourself in a hole, stop digging.”
The next time Jensen gets in front of a group of farmers and rural residents, he should abandon his stale, disproven COVID kookiness. Instead, he should try focusing on things that actually impact his audience’s lives, such as drought relief, broadband expansion, education investment, paid family and medical leave, health coverage affordability, and road and bridge improvements.
I’ve been thinking about Donald Trump and Angels with Dirty Faces.
You know who Trump is. You may need a reminder about the movie. It’s a classic 1938 crime melodrama in which James Cagney and Pat O’Brien costar as boyhood pals whose lives went in opposite directions. Cagney’s adult Rocky Sullivan is a vicious gangster, O’Brien’s Jerry Connolly a Roman Catholic priest.
The movie wraps up with Rocky getting convicted of murder and being sentenced to die in the electric chair. Father Jerry visits him on death row. He pleads with Rocky to drop his cocky defiance and beg for mercy so that the young hoodlums from the old neighborhood who idolize him — the “Dead End” kids — will feel betrayed and rethink their own criminal ambitions.
Rocky refuses, telling Father Jerry that his reputation is all that he has left. He’s going to walk the last mile with a swagger and “spittin’ in their eyes.”
Jerry walks the corridor with Rocky and shakes his hand farewell. Then Rocky suddenly breaks down and screams for mercy. The guards have to drag the whimpering tough guy to the chair. He dies a coward’s death, and the delinquents who revered him, upon reading the news of how Rocky “turned yellow,” start to question their choices.
In the Trump remake, soon to be a major motion picture —I mean, like, HUGE — the former President of the United States, a career con artist, is finally brought to justice after giving John Law the slip so many times. For his role in facilitating and encouraging the Jan. 6, 2021, assault on the Capitol and the deaths it caused, he gets 10 years in a federal prison for reckless endangerment and depraved indifference — life, essentially, given his age and obesity.
Still, he loudly maintains that his “landslide” win in the 2020 election was stolen from him and his backers, including the Proud Boys and the Oath Keepers.
As he awaits the van that will take him to a secure federal prison, Trump gets a visitor. It’s not a boyhood friend. He has none. It’s not an adult running buddy. Jeffrey Epstein is dead. It’s not a priest or a minister. He doesn’t really know any that well. It’s his daughter, Ivanka.
She pleads with him, for the sake of the divided country, to disavow the “big lie” that he was a victim of election fraud and to tell the Proud Boys, the evangelical Christians and the everyday MAGA millions that idolized him that he was always in it for his own gain and glory and never gave a flying fork about them or their issues.
Like Rocky Sullivan, the Donald refuses. He says all he has left is his notoriety, his image as a badass who speaks for America’s beleaguered conservative citizens and isn’t afraid to insult or belittle anybody, regardless of race, gender or disability, who gives him any lip.
Ivanka rides with her father on the golf cart to the prison van. She hugs him farewell. And then, suddenly, Donald J.Trump breaks down, begging not to be put away in a cell without a seat on its toilet and apologizing to all the voters who trusted him and cheered him at countless rallies.
And his followers, including the Proud Boys, watch his pathetic, whimpering display live on TV, and begin to question what they’ve believed and done in his name for the past six years.
OK, the remake’s a fantasy. So was the original movie.
Note: Noel Holston is a freelance writer who lives in Athens, Georgia. He regularly shares his insights and wit at Wry Wing Politics. He’s also a contributing essayist to Medium.com, TVWorthWatching.com, and other websites. He previously wrote about television and radio at Newsday (200-2005) and, as a crosstown counterpart to the Pioneer Press’s Brian Lambert, at the Star Tribune (1986-2000). He’s the author of “Life After Deaf: My Misadventures in Hearing Loss and Recovery,” by Skyhorse.
For years, Minnesota legislators from both political parties with puritanical and law-and-order instincts have fought hard to preserve the prohibition of marijuana, a plant that is much less addictive and lethal than already legalized alcohol.
But marijuana prohibition in Minnesota is now effectively over, kinda sorta. The Star Tribune explains one of the most surprising and senseless moves the Minnesota Legislature has made in my lifetime:
“A new state law took effect July 1 that allows Minnesotans 21 and older to buy certain edibles and beverages containing small amounts of THC, the ingredient in marijuana that produces the high associated with the drug.
The new law allows the sale and purchase of edibles — such as gummies, hard candy or chocolates — and beverages that contain up to 5 milligrams of tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) per serving and 50 milligrams per package, and no more than 0.3% THC by weight. Products containing THC, as well as those containing cannabidiol (CBD), must be clearly labeled and can only be sold to those 21 and older. Edibles must be in child-proof and tamper-evident packages and carry the label “Keep this product out of reach of children.” Serving sizes must also be clearly defined.
THC products sold in Minnesota must be derived from legally-certified hemp containing no more than 0.3% THC by weight, according to the law. Marijuana flower and all THC-containing products derived from it remain illegal in Minnesota for recreational use.
The law places no limit on how many CBD and THC products can be purchased and does not regulate who can sell them.”
This shocking development is at the same time encouraging and frustrating. Legislators have lots of high-minded (sorry, couldn’t resist) explanations about how they were merely trying to keep Minnesotans safe from low-THC hemp with new regulations. But regardless of actual intent, the Legislature has legalized intoxicating THC products. That’s great for those who partake and don’t want to go to jail, but bad for those who care about sensible public policy.
The Legislature, wanting to show their constituents that they’re being prudent with “low and slow” dosing, essentially created the THC equivalent of 3.2 beer, or beer with no more than 3.2 percent alcohol by weight. Anyone who came of age in the 3.2 era knows that past generations of Americans did street research and discovered a clever workaround for that law: Consume more weak product, and get as wasted as your heart desires.
Similarly, there is a fighting chance that today’s Minnesotans will make a similar discovery about the Legislature’s new half-baked model. Obviously, Minnesota’s relatively low-THC gummies can get you every bit as high as the higher-THC gummies available in states where marijuana is fully legalized. More bites begets more buzz.
Equally stupid, the Minnesota Legislature is also requiring that companies produce the THC-containing gummies in the least efficient, most expensive way possible. In Minnesota, companies are required to make THC-containing gummies out of relatively low-THC hemp plants, instead of high-THC marijuana/cannabis plants.
This is like requiring that companies produce sugar from tomatoes rather than sugar beets. It’s feasible, because tomatoes have a relatively small amount of sugar in them, but why do it that way? The massive inefficiency of this hemp requirement ultimately causes huge additional growing and processing costs to be passed on to inflation-weary Minnesota consumers, for no good reason.
But that’s not all. Because legislative hemp regulators quietly snuck into the back door of THC edible legalization without wanting to wake sleeping prohibitionists, they didn’t include any taxation provisions in the new law. As a result, hundreds of millions of dollars in THC product taxes will not be collected to fund badly needed public services, such as education, early learning, or environmental protections. That’s a huge missed opportunity.
Worst of all, the Legislature didn’t expunge the criminal records of Minnesotans whose lives are being needlessly harmed because of past marijuana-related convictions. As of July 1, 2022, Minnesotans can now legally get high as the IDS Tower at the same time their fellow Minnesotans — disproportionately people of color, because of shameful racial bias in Minnesota’s law enforcement and judicial systems — continue to be harshly punished for having consumed the very same chemical. That’s layering an outrageous new injustice on top of the outrageous old injustice.
To summarize, Minnesota’s THC edible legalization framework offers a good buzz, but no consumer cost-containment, public improvements, tax relief, or justice. We can now “get stupid,” but we will never get as stupid as this regulatory framework.
Despite all of those flaws, THC edibles are now finally being enjoyed by Minnesotans of all political stripes. Because of that, this product will quickly get more normalized in Minnesota society. As a result, bringing back prohibition, as some Republicans propose, will be more unpopular than ever.
Ultimately, that normalization should pave the way for the future passage of a more thoughtful, comprehensive legalization framework, presuming a wave of extreme marijuana prohibitionists aren’t swept into office in the 2022 midterm elections. That could happen because of voter frustration over crime and inflation, but it won’t be because of this issue. Minnesotans support marijuana legalization by a 14-point margin.
The Minnesota Legislature will probably eventually get to a sane legalization framework that produces lower consumer prices, better funded government services, and justice for thousands. Winston Churchill famously said that “The United States can always be relied upon to do the right thing — having first exhausted all possible alternatives.” Unfortunately, marijuanaphobic Minnesota is currently in the process of exhausting a particularly ludicrous alternative on its path to the right thing.
Today, the Star Tribune is reporting that Minnesota Lieutenant
Governor wannabe Matt Birk is an ignorant bigot, proving that there are some
things even a $216,000 Harvard education cannot fix.
Speaking at the National Right to Life conference in Georgia last month, Birk said American culture “loudly but also stealthily promotes abortion” by “telling women they should look a certain way, they should have careers.” Birk said abortion rights activists who oppose bans that do not have exceptions for victims of rape or incest “always want to go to the rape card.”
An abortion, Birk said, is “not going to heal the wounds of that.”
“Two wrongs is not gonna … make it right,” said Birk, a former Minnesota Vikings center who’s the running mate of GOP-endorsed governor candidate Scott Jensen.
First, the “rape card” crack. When a woman is raped, impregnated, and defends her right to an abortion, she is not “playing the rape card.” She is not playing any card. She has been forcibly dealt a trauamatic card by violent criminal. A very difficult decision has been forced on her by the worst kind of thug, and the subsequent decisions about how to deal with that trauma must be made by her and her alone, not Matt Birk or any other smug, judgmental politician.
By the way, this pooh-poohing of crime victims is coming from the candidate running on an anti-crime platform. Isn’t that rich?
And then there is the career comment. Women don’t have careers because liberal society forced it on them. They have careers for the same reason men do. To support themselves. To support their families. To chase their dreams. Whether we’re talking about this career choice or the choice of whether, when, and how to have a family, these kinds of choices should be made by the woman involved, and not judged by pompous politicians like Matt Birk.
This shocking chapter of the 2022 gubernatorial campaign is yet another reminder that Minnesotans know almost nothing about Matt Birk the politician. Birk is revealing himself to be an extremist, just like the person at the top of the ticket, Scott Jensen. As I noted earlier, reporters should probe to learn where he stands on a whole host of issues:
Public funding for free birth control, which is proven to dramatically reduce unplanned pregnancies and abortions? Codifying marriage equality? Paid family and medical leave? Giving Minnesotans the option to buy into MinnesotCare? Prayer in public schools, and which religion’s prayer? Taxpayers subsidizing billionaire sports team owners’ stadiums? Making the wealthiest 1% of Minnesotans, which includes Birk, pay higher taxes to fund education improvements? Accepting Obamacare funding for Medicare expansion in Minnesota? “Don’t say gay” laws to punish teachers who mention gay people in school? Allowing parents to ban books from school libraries?
Maybe Birk would accuse me of playing the “issue card” here, but Minnesotans need to know more about a guy who cavalierly characterizes rape victims as “playing the rape card.”
Note: This blog is supposed to be commentary about public issues, not personal reflections about the authors’ lives. I’m making an exception in this case, though maybe the struggle I discuss may feel familiar to others.
Valued friends and mentors sometimes tell me not to post about politics on social media. Keep it to personal updates and humor, they counsel. The reasons they give for foregoing politics generally fall into three categories – it’s bad for your career, divisive, and futile.
My Defense
When deciding how to engage on social media everyone has their own unique circumstances to navigate. But for what it’s worth, this is my answer to those criticisms.
Criticism #1: Speaking
Out Is Bad for Your Career
I realize that speaking out politically on social media has hurt many a career, and therefore isn’t for everyone. But in my case, I’m late in my career, so there isn’t much left to wreck. Also, I’m my own boss, so my boss likes my politics. Moreover, a quick glance at my resume makes my political views pretty clear, so my viewpoints shouldn’t shock anyone.
Even so, if I was more guarded with my political views, it is true that conservative clients would probably be more likely to look past my past work for progressive officials and causes. They could chalk it up to youthful naivete and ignorance, and assume I had outgrown my liberalism.
But I’m not convinced being unapologetically progressive on social media has led to a net loss of business. While it probably has lost me business, it also probably has gained me business. Given the nature of my clientele, I suspect I’ve gained a bit more than I’ve lost. Just as consumer brands like Nike, Tommy Hilfiger, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Lyft, and Airbnb that have taken progressive stances don’t seem to have experienced a net loss of business, it’s possible something similar can happen to sole proprietors and individual employees like me.
But if I’ve guessed wrong about about that, if speaking out
has hurt me more than helped, I’ll accept the financial consequences. At the
risk of sounding self-righteous, I’d rather die financially poorer than morally
poorer.
Criticism #2: Speaking Out Is Divisive
This country is really dangerously divided, and I hate to think I might be making it even more so due to my social media blatherings.
But the things that are most dividing America — bigotry, poor-bashing, greed, political corruption, unnecessary wars, etc. – undoubtedly will get much worse if we all shrug them off and effectively treat them as normal and acceptable. Indifference to divisiveness begets even more divisiveness.
I do try, with mixed results, to avoid using a tone that is needlessly divisive. For instance, I try to avoid ad hominem attacks, and other types cathartic snottyness. I also mix in personal posts — have you seen enough of my new grandson yet? — and self-effacing humor to partially disarm people who say I’m taking myself too seriously.
But as much as I’d love to stay mute about public affairs issues, I don’t. The most divisive thing anyone can do is remain silent in the face of the toxic conservative policies and rhetoric that are tearing America apart.
Criticism #3: Speaking Out Is Futile
This is the criticism that gives me the most pause. I’ll admit, speaking out on social media frequently feels totally ineffectual. With most political exchanges on social media, minds are not changed, which often leaves me feeling exhausted and discouraged.
At the same time, social media has increasingly become a huge source of news for voters. Increasingly, people don’t subscribe to news publications, and don’t seek them out much. Increasingly, they get their news from what is shared on social media. I hate to leave this powerful news platform to conservatives, so I share things the some friends wouldn’t otherwise have seen.
Speaking out on social media has worked for conservatives, so why wouldn’t it work for progressives? For many years I’ve seen conservatives who are vocal on social media channels making significant messaging gains, in these three ways.
Conversion. First, conservatives’ social media posts do change the occasional minds of swing voters, or voters who swing back and forth between parties in their voting patterns. Though I’m pretty sure changing minds is roughly as rare for conservatives as it is for liberals, it does happen. I have friends who have become more conservative over the years in part because of the relentless conservative messaging they encounter on social media. Just because conversation is relatively rare, doesn’t mean it never happens and can’t impact the kinds of close elections that are so commonplace these days.
Retention. Second, conservative posts help keep other conservatives conservative. That is, “preaching to the choir” ensures that conservatives are not tempted to listen to the liberal devils in their lives. It gives them ammunition for bar stool discussions. For any political movement, retention of supporters over time is not a given. Preventing erosion of support requires sustained repetition and reinforcement of messaging, and social media posting does that.
Activation. Probably most importantly, conservative social media posters keep conservatives informed, entertained, and engaged, which sometimes helps move conservatives from being passive supporters into becoming activists and voters. That evolution helps conservatives win close elections.
If conversion, retention, and activation are happening at the hands of conservative social media posters, I see no reason why liberal social media posters can’t make the same gains.
In fact, social media outreach arguably is more badly needed on the left, since progressives don’t have the equivalent of Fox News and conservative talk radio hosts persuading and re-persuading millions of conservatives on a daily basis.
Why Bother?
To be sure, conversion, retention, and activation don’t happen without lots of relentless effort, and the weakening and loss of friendships. There are two quotes that frequently bounce around in my head when I’m pondering whether my incessant blathering is worth it.
One is from an author named Jim Watkins:
“A river cuts through rock not because of its power but because of its persistence.”
Maybe that sounds trite, but when it comes to persuasion, it’s true. That metaphor helps this exhausted progressive social media gasbag stay patient, motivated, and persistent.
The other quote I can’t stop thinking about is from another Nicole Schulman, an author and daughter of a Nazi Holocaust-era Jew:
“Nice people made the best Nazis. My mom grew up next to them. They got along, refused to make waves, looked the other way when things got ugly and focused on happier things than “politics.” They were lovely people who turned their heads as their neighbors were dragged away. You know who weren’t nice people? Resisters.”
I’m ashamed to say, I’m pretty hard-wired to be “the best Nazi” that Schulman’s mom saw. I’m a conflict averse guy. I’m insecure enough to instinctively want to please everyone. So wading into the much-hated “politics on Facebook” isn’t instinctive or comfortable for me.
Still, I can’t stand the thought of remaining silent as conservatives dominate social media channels unrebutted, and fascism grows unabated. With the stakes that high, annoying my friends with political posts on Facebook feels like a democratic duty that’s well worth the trade-off.
Republican gubernatorial nominee Scott Jensen just revealed why he is seeking the state’s highest office.
To help Minnesotans access more affordable health care by giving them a public option? Nope. To invest in building a world class education system? No way. To deliver guaranteed family and medical leave to struggling families? He opposes that too.
What did the Board, which exists to ensure the public is protected from unsafe and ineffective medical practices, do to Jensen? According to Jensen, the Board is investigating him for encouraging the use of ivermectin. In February 2022, Web MD explained the latest research on ivermectin.
Ivermectin, the controversial anti-parasitic drug, does not help treat mild to moderate COVID-19, another new study has found.
“The study findings do not support the use of ivermectin for patients with COVID-19,” researchers said in the study published last week in JAMA Internal Medicine.
The authors of the new study acknowledge the controversy: “Although some early clinical studies suggested the potential efficacy of ivermectin in the treatment and prevention of COVID-19, these studies had methodologic weaknesses.”
Even worse, Jensen also had been encouraging the public to endanger their neighbors by defying mask mandates during lethal COVID spikes. The Hill reports on what the world’s top public health experts have learned about such mandates:
The BMJ, a global health care publisher, released a massive review Thursday that analyzed 72 studies from around the world to evaluate how non-pharmaceutical health measures reduced cases of COVID-19. Researchers found measures like hand-washing, wearing masks and physical distancing significantly reduced incidences of COVID-19.
Researchers found that wearing a mask could reduce COVID-19 incidence by 53 percent.
One experiment across 200 countries showed 45.7 percent fewer COVID-19 related deaths in countries where mask wearing was mandatory, according to the study. In the U.S., one study reported a 29 percent reduction in COVID-19 transmission in states where mask wearing was required.
That’s a lot of research that Dr. J is ignoring in order to pander to the extreme anti-science right wing of his party. I don’t throw the term “quack” around lightly. But if someone talks like a quack and acts like a quack, then they might just be a quack.
Here’s hoping the Board isn’t spooked by this political bullying, and does the job Minnesota patients depend on it to do.
If the Jensen experiment works, the retaliation model could become a rich vein of recruiting new Republican office-seekers.
Tax cheats can be recruited to run to retaliate against the Minnesota Department of Revenue.
Polluters can be recruited to run retaliate against the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency.
Enemies of democracy can be recruited to run to retaliate against the Minnesota Secretary of State’s office.
Abusive cops can be recruited to run to retaliate against the Minnesota Attorney General’s office.
Criminals can be recruited to run to retaliate against the Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension.
More quacks, tax cheats, democracy enemies, polluters, abusers, and criminals in public office! What could possibly go wrong?
Inflation
is killing us, OK. Paychecks don’t go as far as they did, like, oh, two days
ago. Fixed incomes are anything but that in adjusted terms. A gallon of gas
costs as much as a latte with a shot of hazelnut at Starbucks.
We
keep waiting for the President or the Congress or the Fed or the DOE or the NRA
to make it stop.
But
this is not entirely a top-down issue. We can do something about inflation
ourselves. We are not powerless.
If
you read up on our current surge in prices, you will find that economic experts
widely agree that the uptick-tick-tick is the result of multiple factors,
including global supply-chain snarls, disruptions set in motion by Russia’s
monstrous attack on Ukraine, and pent-up consumer demand bursting out of the
pandemic lockup like steam from an overheated boiler.
We
can’t fix the supply chain and, sad to say, we can’t collectively will Vladimir
Putin to melt like a wicked witch in water.
We
can do something about our own spending. Demand does have an impact on
price.
So,
we could:
Drive
less. I don’t mean stop altogether. Most
of us have jobs to get to, kids who have soccer practice or piano lessons,
votes to cast. But we could all reduce our weekly mileage by 10 percent or more
if we just planned better and walked and biked more. We Americans burned up 135
billion gallons of gasoline in 2021. Ten percent of that is 13.5 billion
gallons. Multiply that by $4 or $5. Not small change we’d be saving.
Eat
less. Don’t starve your kids or
yourselves, for Pete’s sake, but come on. Have you seen our country’s obesity
numbers? There are a 100 million of us, easily, who could stand to eat less
every day. Go on a diet. Eat more garbanzos and kidney beans and less meat.
Walk.
Yes, I’ve already mentioned it once,
but it can’t be mentioned enough. Don’t just walk for fun, either. Find
someplace you can reasonably reach on foot and go there for a product or
service you would ordinarily drive to.
Some
of these ideas may sound familiar, and not just because they’re obvious. Some
of us are already making these kinds of changes.
But they’re the sort of things President Gerald Ford was talking about in 1974 when his administration launched Whip Inflation Now (WIN), a campaign aimed at getting everyday people, private citizens, to change some habits in hopes of bringing down inflation that was running 12.3 percent.
Suggested
actions for citizens included carpooling, lowering thermostat settings, and
planting home vegetable gardens.
Corny or not, WIN wasn’t a stupid
idea.
Complete
with lapel buttons like something from a home-front solidarity campaign during
World War II, WIN never caught on big and was mercilessly ridiculed. Skeptics
and naysayers wore the buttons upside down, turning WIN to NIM and claiming the
letters stood for “No Immediate Miracles” or “Need Immediate Money.”
But
there was actually nothing wrong with the WIN ideas. The problem was the feeble
response, the widespread refusal by citizens to take personal responsibility
and act collectively.
We,
the people, can’t end this inflationary cycle by ourselves, but we can make a
difference. And taking actions individually with the common good in mind would
not only have some impact on prices, it would be better for the planet and our
own health.
I think that’s what’s known as a WIN-WIN proposition.
Note: Noel Holston is a freelance writer who lives in Athens, Georgia. He regularly shares his insights and wit at Wry Wing Politics. He’s also a contributing essayist to Medium.com, TVWorthWatching.com, and other websites. He previously wrote about television and radio at Newsday (200-2005) and, as a crosstown counterpart to the Pioneer Press’s Brian Lambert, at the Star Tribune (1986-2000). He’s the author of “Life After Deaf: My Misadventures in Hearing Loss and Recovery,” by Skyhorse.
It’s one thing to lie for political gain. That happens all the time. But until Donald Trump became a political figure, it was almost unheard of for politicians to incite angry mobs with unsubstantiated calls to jail political opponents.
But the disease of authoritarianism is contagious.
Recently, the Star Tribune obtained an audio recording documenting GOP gubernatorial nominee Scott Jensen sounding like a whole lot like a dictator.
Speaking April 23 at the Minnesota Third Congressional District Republican organizing convention in Plymouth, Jensen sparked loud cheers from the crowd when he warned that “the hammer’s coming down” on Simon, a DFLer.
“We are not voter suppressors. We have a simple attitude: Make sure that every ballot in the box belongs there. Make sure that it’s easy to vote, hard to cheat, and if you cheat, you’re going to jail,” Jensen said. “And Steve Simon, you maybe better check out to see if you look good in stripes, because you’ve gotten away with too much, too long under [Minnesota Attorney General Keith] Ellison, and the hammer’s coming down.”
Understandably, this Putin-esque moment in a state whose residents can’t stop telling the world how “nice” it is made national news. The audio shows that Jensen is stooping as low it takes to win authoritarian-loving Trump voters who get aroused bellowing “lock him up” about anyone with differing views.
Just because Jensen looks at first glance like a kindly made-for-TV doctor doesn’t mean this isn’t scary stuff. When a politician becomes willing to act like an authoritarian in order to appeal to voters with authoritarian instincts, that politician has become an authoritarian.
Given all of that, what exactly has Simon “gotten away with,” to use Jensen’s vague language? He is simply telling the truth about Trump’s substantial 2020 loss. There are no credible facts indicating any law-breaking by Simon. There is no evidence of mass voter fraud happening under Simon’s watch.
During the worst pandemic in a century, Simon oversaw a state electoral system that produced the best turnout of any state in the nation. The Minnesota Republican party’s standard bearer really thinks he should be jailed for that?
An accusation this baseless and irresponsible should not be shrugged off by political reporters, or treated as a “one and done” story. This is not some innocent gaffe about a harmless issue. Reporters should be following up to demand that Jensen either 1) produce evidence substantiating his allegations and file charges or 2) publicly correct the record and apologize for his outrageous recklessness.
I can already feel the whataboutism coming my way from conservative trolls, so let me add that this standard absolutely should also apply to any Democratic office holder who calls for jailing of opponents without supporting evidence.
While some Democrats have called for jailing Trump and Trump officials, they have done so pointing to a mountain of credible evidence (e.g. a Trump signed hush money check to Stormy, financial documents filed in court indicating manipulation of asset values to commit tax fraud, etc.) and, in many cases, formal investigations and court filings (e.g. the 19 legal actions pending against Trump). With the Simon allegations, nothing of the sort exists.
With an allegation and call to action this dangerous, the guardians of democracy in the fourth estate have an obligation to make Jensen “put up or shut up.”
Think about it this way: If a politician witnessed a rape, carjacking or murder, and could identify the wrongdoers but opted to not to file charges, their refusal would be, quite justifiably, huge news. That politician rightfully would be held accountable for not doing his or her civic duty in order to protect the public from further harm.
On the other hand, if follow-up reporting uncovered that this politician’s version of the alleged violent crime was bogus, that also would and should be banner headline news.
The same should hold true with these allegations of mass voter fraud. Jensen is accusing Simon of destroying the most important thing in our beloved representative democracy — free and fair elections. If someone elected to run elections really did somehow defile America’s democratic crown jewel, he should be punished to the full extent of the law.
But again, where is Jensen’s evidence of that crime? Where are Jensen’s formal charges that can be scrutinized in an independent judicial proceeding? If neither evidence nor charges are forthcoming, where is Jensen’s unambiguous correction and apology?
And finally, and importantly, where is the follow-up reporting that a democracy needs to survive this growing tide of demagoguery and authoritarianism?
GOP gubernatorial nominee Scott Jensen says he wants a special session to address public safety.
Great. Despite the GOP insistence that DFL candidates support “defunding the police,” DFL Governor Tim Walz has proposed $300 million in public safety improvements. DFL legislators have some other ideas of their own for improvements. For his part, the Trump-supporting Jensen hasn’t proposed any funding, saying he would leave such minor details to the Legislature. But Jensen does have a brief fact sheet which makes it seems as if he supports a lot of the same general approaches as Walz.
So, here is a rare case of bipartisan common ground, right?
Nope. Despite the fact that Minnesota has a massive $9.25 billion budget surplus that can help Minnesotans in multiple ways, Jensen is stubbornly insisting that public safety be the only issue addressed in a special session. Everyone, including Jensen, knows that such an insistence is a deal breaker when dealing with a bipartisan representative body that has broad-ranging responsibilities to the Minnesotans it serves.
To be clear, Jensen’s narrow-minded demand that the Legislature have an anti-crime only special session means the party that claims to be all about tax cuts is effectively blocking the largest tax cut in Minnesota history. Stop and think about that for a second.
And that’s not all.
The Republican party that insists it isn’t anti-education is blocking $1 billion in improvements for a struggling e-12 education system.
The party that historically relies on large majorities of seniors to get reelected is blocking a massive amount of funding that is needed to keep struggling nursing homes open.
The party that claims to be best for the economy is blocking a huge amount of investment in transportation and infrastructure that economists say is necessary for economic efficiency and growth.
The party that calls for improving the mental health system after every tragedy that is enabled by easily accessible guns is blocking a $93 million mental health package.
And the party that is opportunistically running a “tough on crime” campaign is demanding a “my way or the highway” legislative approach that is serving as the death knell for a sweeping anti-crime bill pending at the Legislature.
When Jensen made this announcement, the headlines in numerous publications were variations of “Jensen Pitches Public Safety Plan.” That’s accurate, but incomplete.
It would have been just as accurate, and more complete and illuminating, if the headlines had said something like “Jensen Blocks Improvements for Education, Nursing Homes, Roads, and Mental Health.” That’s an equally important part of Jensen’s extreme right-wing candidacy that is currently being under-reported.
I suspect that only a relatively small proportion of Minnesotans are aware that DFL legislators want to finish work delivering tax cuts and popular investments to Minnesotans, while GOP legislators have walked off the job and left that important work undone.
But state legislators spend much of their time with well-informed lobbyists and activists. The State Capitol is an insular island. Therefore, many legislators probably incorrectly assume that most Minnesotans already know all of this.
But many don’t know it, or don’t fully understand the damage it’s causing, so DFLers need to proactively and repeatedly tell the story.
The policies that Republicans are effectively blocking by refusing to do more work are extremely popular. Tax cuts. Education and child care investments. Long-term care spending. Police funding. Infrastucture improvements. Moreover, Minnesotans believe in working hard, and not quitting just because the task is difficult. There is a strong case to be made here.
But if DFLers don’t proactively repeat the point about the GOP’s dereliction of duties, and the consequences of it, many voters will never know about it, or won’t remember come November.
To educate voters about what is happening at the State Capitol, and make it stick in their memories, DFL legislators need a series of provocative tactics that play out between now and the election. A few options to consider:
Empty Chairs at Mock Legislative Sessions. DFL legislative leaders should send a letter to all GOP legislators proposing a date and time to return to the Capitol Building for a Special Session. Republicans won’t agree to attend, but all DFL legislators should show up in the House and Senate chambers at the proposed time anyway. They should wait for the missing Republican legislators for 24 hours or so. They should use that time in the half-empty chambers to make it clear that the GOP is refusing to do their jobs, and describe the contents of the legislation effectively being blocked by the Gone Old Party (GOP).
Then they should record video of the speeches, liberally interspersed with shots of the Republican incumbents’ empty chairs and offices. They should share short videos of the speeches and empty chairs via targeted social media.
They also should invite DFL challengers to come to the State Capitol to participate in news conferences about the refusal of the incumbents to do the jobs they were elected to do. Those challengers could record “Looking for Rudy”-style videos to use in their campaigns, humorous videos portraying the DFL challengers searching empty offices for evidence of the GOP incumbent doing their jobs.
Missing Person Flyers. DFL candidates could also make tongue-in-cheek Missing Person-like flyers to be used in online ads and postcards. The “Missing Legislator” flyers would include a photo of the GOP incumbent, with a description of the unfinished business they left behind when they walked off the job they were hired to do.
Poll Documenting Public Frustration. The DFL Party should also commission a poll asking Minnesotans if legislators should return to work to finish the tax cuts and investments. They should also use the poll to document the popularity of each of the major components of the unfinished business – tax cuts, education and child care investments, police spending, infrastructure investments, etc . They should publicize the poll results in news conferences and campaign materials.
Why a poll? The results of a survey would make it clear that this isn’t just an argument between the GOP and DFL. It’s also an argument between the GOP and the overwhelming majority of Minnesotans. That’s an important nuance to stress when framing this issue.
Pink Slips. Closer to the election, DFL candidates could develop termination notice forms (e.g. “pink slips”) to use in advertising and mailing. The pink slips would be filled in with the legislators name and reason for firing – “failure to show up for work when constituents needed tax cuts, education, and anti-crime help the most.”
Whether or not these are the right tactics, the larger point remains: DFLers need to develop an on-going campaign to make the 2022 elections a referendum on whether Republican incumbents should show up for work when struggling Minnesota families need help. DFLers stand a much better chance of winning that referendum than the one’s Republicans are stressing, about whether Democrats are sufficiently committed to fighting crime and cutting taxes. If DFLers allow Republicans to frame the election that way, they’re in trouble.
Mid-term elections are historically awful for the party in power. Beyond that, the post-pandemic economy is unpredictable and unsettling. To be sure, the DFL is facing stiff political headwinds.
For those reasons, this is no time to run a dull, conventional campaign using blah, blah, blah cookie cutter messaging. Desperate times call for desperate measures. DFLers need a provocative campaign that cuts through the message clutter by telling the unvarnished truth about the Gone Old Party and the damage its refusal to work is causing for Minnesota families.
The Hon. Clarence Thomas and other “originalists” among the justices of the United States Supreme Court favor a concept with respect to interpretation of the Constitution that asserts that all statements therein must be interpreted based on the original understanding “at the time it was adopted.”
That’s how they justify opposition to, say, gay marriage. The Founders didn’t mention homosexuality — or women, for that matter — so there.
I’m not happy about this, but if that’s the way it is, they should be consistent. Apply their doctrine to guns as well.
At the time the Constitution was adopted, in June 1788, a personal firearm was a musket. A single-shot, slow-to-load musket.
It’s highly doubtful that even Thomas Jefferson and Ben Franklin — visionaries, inventors, Gyro Gearlooses of their times — envisioned anything beyond a musket. The repeating rifle wasn’t invented until 1847, almost 60 years after the Constitution was ratified. Muskets were still in wide use during the Civil War, and primarily — irony of ironies — by soldiers of the Confederacy, the states of which are now among the most protective of their gun-totin’ rights.
No way could Jefferson, Franklin and any other Founder have foreseen M-16s and AK-47s.
So, let Originalist theory reign. Let’s go musket.
Everybody 21 or older should be able to have a musket — a beautiful, wood-and-metal, work-of-art weapon, like Davy Crockett’s “Betsy” — if he, she or they wants. Our government could even provide them for free, like Covid test kits, and require courses on how to handle, use and care for them. They could be etched with our individual Social Security numbers.
But as part of the same campaign, we would collect every single assault rifle and pistol — every unforgiving, grimly utilitarian weapon of war that was never intended for civilian use.
Praise the Lord and pass the powder horn.
Note: Noel Holston is a freelance writer who lives in Athens, Georgia. He regularly shares his insights and wit at Wry Wing Politics. He’s also a contributing essayist to Medium.com, TVWorthWatching.com, and other websites. He previously wrote about television and radio at Newsday (200-2005) and, as a crosstown counterpart to the Pioneer Press’s Brian Lambert, at the Star Tribune (1986-2000). He’s the author of “Life After Deaf: My Misadventures in Hearing Loss and Recovery,” by Skyhorse.
In your career, imagine that you faced a deadline to deliver on an employers’ assignment — a report, a construction project, a patient treatment, a classroom unit, a research paper, a production goal, a sales pitch. Then imagine that despite your best efforts, due to factors beyond your individual control, you run out of time.
It happens to all of us all the time. Do you double down on effort and finish your assignment, or point fingers, declare defeat, quit your assignment, and refuse to return to it?
If the latter, I’m guessing you probably have been fired at least once, or denied advancement.
Well, the Minnesota Legislature had an assignment from their employers, the constituents they are sworn to serve. The promise each of them made to their bosses on the campaign trail was to make life a little better for them during challenging times. But the legislators encountered challenges that were outside their immediate control–principally disagreement from the opposition party, which is to be fully expected. Because of the challenges, they ran out of time.
So, they walked away from the job, and say they’re not coming back to work until 2023. See ya!
So Close
Quite remarkably, legislators actually appeared to be very close to at least partially delivering on the assignment that their constituents gave them.
Tax deal? Done. It’s not everything that Democrats wanted, and not everything that Republicans wanted. But it was agreed upon and done.
Overall fiscal deal? Done. It outlines how much in tax cuts and supplemental spending would be acceptable to both parties. Again, the compromise agreement was equally satisfying and disappointing to both Democrats and Republicans.
Those two parts of the task are arguably the most difficult that legislators faced. That’s where past Legislatures often have failed. But to their credit, this 2022 Legislature got that difficult work done, along with deals related to unemployment insurance, health reinsurance, farm disaster aid, and other items.
But by the time the legislative clock ran out, this year’s Legislature hadn’t agreed on the specifics for how to divvy up already agreed upon sized budgetary pies for public safety, education, and health and human services. To be sure, those are challenging assignments for two parties with fundamentally different values.
But this Legislature got other difficult tasks done this year, so this final task is imminently doable.
WhyQuitters?
If you try, that is. Democrats are willing to keep trying in a special session. Republicans apparently are not.
For now, Republicans are saying they won’t give one more second of effort to help those who clearly will be hurt by their refusal to come back to work – taxpayers, renters, seniors, children, parents, child care providers, nursing home operators, police officers, and crime victims.
Minnesota Republicans looked at those struggling constituents, shrugged cavalierly, and walked away before the assignment their employers gave them was done.
Why? I’m speculating here, because I’m not a mind reader. But I suspect it’s not because Republicans are lazy or incompetent. They seem industrious and competent bunch, at least when it comes to things they care about, such as campaigning.
I’m also guessing that it’s not a negotiating ploy. I hope I’m wrong, and that they’ll be back. But right now it doesn’t look like that’s what they’re doing.
I hope I’m wrong, but I suspect worse. I suspect they just don’t care about their job assignment. That is, at their core they don’t really think that making their constituents’ lives better as soon as possible is sufficiently important to merit the extra work and headaches associated with a special session.
Sure, these Republican legislators love much of what comes with the job — the title, office, public platform, power, and respect. That’s presumably what keeps them running for reelection year after year. But the work assignment itself? I’m just not convinced.
Worse yet, a few who are disproportionately influential on their caucus actually seem to feel that their work assignment is, in the name of conservative or libertarian ideology, to prevent the government from helping taxpayers, renters, seniors, children, parents, child care providers, nursing home operators, police officers, and crime victims.
That’s not what they tell those groups on the campaign trail, but it’s too often how they govern.
Do Voters Care?
Back to the opening analogy. After failing to complete your task on time, how do you suppose this would go over with your employer? “Yeah, I just don’t really believe in this job assignment, and it got really difficult, and the time clock ran out, so I quit and I’m not going back to the assignment you gave me.”
Yeah. Maybe it’s time Minnesotans reacted the same way.
“This is Democrats’ fault too, because they’re so bad at messaging.” This is the go-to blame-shifting critique I get from self-identified “moderate” friends, well-intentioned folks who dodge conflict, critical thinking, and/or accountability by continually declaring equal disgust for “both sides.”
In the wake of the leak of the forthcoming U.S. Supreme Court decision allowing states to ban abortions, I’m hearing this a lot. It’s hardly the first time. I hear it every time there is another preventable mass shooting, and every time some jaw droppingly stupid piece of legislation passes, such as “don’t say gay” teacher censorship or something that further aggravates climate change.
The moderates’ flippant “this is Democrats’ fault too, because they suck at messaging argument” is patently ridiculous responsibility avoidance.
Let’s start with the “this Democrats’ fault too” part of their claim. To state the obvious, Democrats didn’t appoint the justices overturning Roe. Republicans did. Democrats didn’t vote for the politicians who appointed those abortion-banning justices. Republicans and moderates did. So, where is moderates’ unambiguous criticism of Republicans?
Because these facts are so undeniable and damning, moderates, ever-wary of decisively taking a side on an issue, quickly shift to the “yeah, but Democrats are to blame too because they can’t message” condemnation. This invariably gets the moderate bobbleheads nodding in self-righteous agreement.
I don’t buy that either. As for messaging effort, while conflict averse moderates too often have been silent on the sidelines of the unpleasant abortion debate, Democrats have been leading the fight for reproductive health rights for decades, including in the largest protest in American history.
Democrats have even been fighting for abortion rights in jurisdictions where they know it will hurt them politically. For example, my former boss Tom Daschle lost his reelection bid in no small part because he courageously stood up for reproductive freedom in a state where he knew doing so would hurt him.
Beyond an alleged lack of messaging effort, moderates also criticize Democrats’ messaging skills.
My question back to moderates: “Tell me, have you discovered the magic words that convince your anti-abortion friends to preserve Roe? If so, could you please share them? Has any human being on the planet come up with those magically persuasive words?
Market researchers tell us there are words and arguments that seem to work better than others. But they still don’t change many minds.
If the magic words don’t seem to exist, maybe messaging
skills isn’t the problem here.
Maybe the audience, not the messaging, is the problem. Maybe the audience is unpersuadable on this issue.
This “it’s Democrats’ fault because they suck at messaging” line of blame-shifting is not just irksome, it’s one of the root causes of the coming abortion ban. The moderates’ mindless, self-indulgent “both sides are equally bad” and “why should I support them if they can’t message” viewpoints frees moderates to continue using their election-swinging votes to empower Republicans.
Too many moderates give Republicans their votes, often out of greed, because there is a tax cut promised, or out of shallowness, because of some kind of an irrelevant personality preference. They subsequently express shock and dismay when the Republicans they helped elect do the things they promised they would do on the campaign trail, such as making abortion illegal, censoring teachers, opposing gun background checks, blocking efforts to make health care and child care more affordable, and effectively empowering white supremacists and insurrectionists.
While all of us, including congressional Democrats, could and should get better at messaging on these issues, let’s not kid ourselves. The primary reason abortion is about to be banned in about half of the states isn’t messaging. The primary problem is that there are too many Republican extremists in office. That happens in part because there are too many moderates giving them their votes. That happens because there are too many moderates rationalizing their votes for extremist Republicans with self-delusional “both sides are equally bad” arguments.
So the next time you hear moderates say something bad is happening because Democrats suck at messaging, please stop nodding your heads, and hold them accountable.